Random thoughts on art, technology, stuff, and occasionally Real Estate: Deja Vu, All Over Again

Deja Vu, All Over Again

Crisis Real Estate InvestingI noticed this book in my office library the other day, and pulled it off the shelf.  "Crisis Real Estate Investing" by Hal Morris.  Sub-Title:  "Increase and Protect Your Assets from Potential Disaster".  The copyright date is 1982.

The blurb on the dust jacket starts:  "During the late 1970s, real estate skyrocketed with values increasing 15 to 20 percent annually.  Suddenly the real estate boom slowed, appreciation stopped, interest rates climbed and homeowners, buyers, sellers, lenders and borrowers scrambled to refinance, bail out or somehow take advantage of their neighbor's misfortune."

Or how about the first paragraph on page one: "It came about so quickly that almost no one could believe it.  Prices for homes all cross America went up dramatically year after year.  One region reported 15 percent a year appreciation, another called it 21 percent, and still a third, 23 percent.  Imagine the value of a house going up by nearly a quarter of its price every year!  And then one day it just stopped."

Huh?  Let me check that copyright date again.  Yep, 1982.  The book talks about the Savings and Loan Crisis of the 1980s, (you remember that, right?) avoiding foreclosure, and goes on to cover real estate investment strategies to profit in a down market.  The charts and graphs show prices in the 90s and 100s, but there you are.

To everything there is a season.

9 commentsCheryl Johnson • September 23 2006 06:01AM

Comments

Ahhhh the good old business cycle...
If it weren't for everyones kneejerk reactions, life would be sooo predictable.
Posted by Spotlight Realty over 5 years ago

Remember it?  Yes, I participated.  the '80's were the age when I cut my teeth on real estate, justifying an interest rate of 14% to be "good."  Of course it was good, it just come down from 18%!

Markets go  up, markets go down.  Life goes on.

Posted by Kristal Kraft ~Denver Real Estate~720-279-4599 (The Berkshire Group Realtors) over 5 years ago
I entered the biz in 1982.  At that point the veterans were saying that the high interest rates were what shut down the great market of the 70s.  Yeah, I remember 18%!  Then along came a city sponsored program called "Home Loan Counseling Center".  First time buyers could get loans at 12% or 13%.  We were ~~all over~~ that program like flies to stink!!
Posted by Cheryl Johnson, Bob Taylor Properties, Inc., Los Angeles, CA over 5 years ago

All aboard the marigoround of real estate.  Everything is a cycle and and it is just a question of magnitude.  Over all the values do rise but when too many people think that they are "investors" there will always be a correction looming.  And round and round we go.

Posted by Andrew Hodge (Right At Home Realty Inc.) over 5 years ago
Very interesting...I wasn't old enough to have 'remembered' but I have read/heard of it. Everything is cylical but people are sometimes like ostriches & bury their head in the sand like its not happening instead of just going with it. We do not control the market.
Posted by Cape Coral Real Estate Broker | Susan Milner | FloridaFutureAgents.com (Florida Future Realty, Inc.) over 5 years ago
If it goes up, it must come down. Real Estate is cyclic like everything else. The difference from 1982 & now is flippers!
Posted by Mrs. Sheri Ann Johnson, GRI (Tropic Shores Realty) over 5 years ago
Cheryl, I bet you are familiar with "creative financing" too!  
Posted by Kristal Kraft ~Denver Real Estate~720-279-4599 (The Berkshire Group Realtors) over 5 years ago
It's the stock trader's time now. We've had it good for the past five years while they suffered. We'll have our day of sunshine again in about 4.5 years!
Posted by David Eiglarsh, CRS (Eiglarsh Realty) over 5 years ago

You are so right, and you could probably go back another 30 yrs to see the same cycles, over and over...I can't say too much, I'll give away my age!

Moral of the story is "hang in there", its going to be a slow time for awhile, but it will come back.

Posted by Rhode Island Realtor ~ Karen Hurst ~ www.stonehurstrealty.com (STONEHURST REALTY) over 5 years ago

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